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Migration with pension reform expectations*
Marek Góra*
Marek Góra
Affiliation: Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw, Poland; Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Bonn, Germany
 0000-0001-9117-1603
Anna Ruzik-Sierdzińska* 
Article | Year: 2020 | Pages: 203 - 219 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 2 Received: July 31, 2019 | Accepted: October 19, 2019 | Published online: June 1, 2020
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FULL ARTICLE
FIGURES & DATA
REFERENCES
CROSSMARK POLICY
METRICS
LICENCING
PDF
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Period 1
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Period 2
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Period 3
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Migrate in p.1
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Work
abroad
-F +
W1
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Work
abroad
pGW2G + pBW2B
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Retirement
B3(W1, pGW2G + W2B)
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Wait until p.2
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Home
country work
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Work
abroad
pG(-F + W2G)
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Retirement
pGB3(W2G) + BH
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Stay
|
Home
country work
|
Home
country work
|
Home
country retirement
|
|
|
Period 1
|
Period 2
|
Period 3
|
|
Migrate in p.1
|
Work
abroad
-F +
W1
|
Work
abroad
pGW2G + pBW2B
|
Retirement
qGB3G(W1, pGW2G + pBW2B)
+ qBB3B(W1, pGW2G + pBW2B
|
|
Wait until p.2
|
Home
country work
|
Work
abroad
pG(-F + W2G)
|
Retirement
qGpGB3(W2G)
+ BH
|
|
Stay
|
Home
country work
|
Home
country work
|
Home
country retirement
|
Bijak, J. [et al.], 2012. Population Ageing, Population Decline and Replacement Migration in Europe. In: M. Kupiszewski, ed. International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe. The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, vol 32, pp. 245-263 [ CrossRef]
Boeri, T. and Brugiavini, A., 2008. Reforms and Women Retirement Plans. IZA Discussion Paper, No. 3821 [ CrossRef]
Borjas, G., 1987. Self-selection and the earnings of immigrants. American Economic Review, 77, pp. 531–553.
Borjas, G., 1999. Immigration and Welfare Magnets. Journal of Labor Economics, 17(4), pp. 607-637 [ CrossRef]
Burda, M., 1995. Migration and the option value of waiting. The Economic and Social Review, 27(1), pp. 1–19.
Chojnicki, X., and Ragot, L., 2016. Impacts of Immigration on an Ageing Welfare State: An Applied General Equilibrium Model for France. Fiscal Studies, 37, pp. 258-284 [ CrossRef]
De Giorgi, G. and Pellizzari, M., 2009. Welfare migration in Europe. Labour Economics, 16(4), pp. 353-363 [ CrossRef]
Dominitz, J. and Manski, C. F., 2006. Measuring pension-benefit expectations probabilistically. Labour, 20, pp. 201–236 [ CrossRef]
Fernandes, S., 2016. Access to Social Benefits for EU Mobile Citizens: "Tourism" or Myth? Policy Paper, No 168.
Frederick S., Loewenstein F., O'Donoghue T., 2002. Time discounting and time preference: a critical review. Journal of Economic Literature, 40, pp. 351–401 [ CrossRef]
Góra, M., 2013. Political economy of pension reforms: selected general issues and the Polish pension reform case. IZA Journal of Labor & Development, 2, p. 2. [ CrossRef]
Holzmann, R., Orenstein, M. A., and Rutkowski, M., 2003. Pension Reform in Europe: Process and Progress. Washington: The World Bank [ CrossRef]
Josifidis, K., Pucar, E., and Srdic, S., 2014. Labour migration flows: EU8+2 vs EU-15. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 15, pp. 41-55 [ CrossRef]
Kureková, L., 2013. Welfare Systems as Emigration Factor: Evidence from the New Accession States. Journal of Common Market Studies, 51(4), pp. 721-739.
McKinnish, T., 2007. Welfare-Induced Migration at State Borders: New Evidence from Micro-Data. Journal of Public Economics, 91, pp. 437-450 [ CrossRef]
Miles, D., and Iben, A., 2000. The Reform of Pension Systems: Winners and Losers Across Generations in the United Kingdom and Germany. Economica, 67, pp. 203-228 [ CrossRef]
OECD, 2013. International Migration Outlook 2013. Paris: OECD.
OECD, 2015. Recent pension reforms. In: Pensions at a Glance 2015: OECD and G20 indicators. Paris: OECD [ CrossRef]
Okumura, T., and Usui, E., 2014. The effect of pension reform on pension-benefit expectations and savings decisions in Japan. Applied Economics, 46(14), pp. 1677-1691 [ CrossRef]
Razin, A. and Wahba, J., 2015. Welfare Magnet Hypothesis, Fiscal Burden, and Immigration Skill Selectivity. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, (117), pp. 369–402 [ CrossRef]
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June, 2020
II/2020
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