Patterns of welfare-to-employment transitions of Croatian Guaranteed Minimum Benefit recipients: a preliminary study
https://doi.org/10.3326/pse.41.3.4 | Published online: September 15, 2017 Graph 1
Number of unemployment benefits recipients and GMB recipients from 2003 to 2016
Source: Croatian Employment Service and Ministry of Social Welfare.
Graph 2
Barriers to employment faced by GMB beneficiaries: schematic of theoretical mechanisms involved Source: Authors, adapted from Fernandez et al. (2016). Graph 3
Histogram of GMB-related benefits and social transfers including child benefits
Source: SocSkrb, calculation of the authors.
Graph 4
Estimated participation tax rate for taking up a minimum-wage job Table 1
Outcome of the unemployment episode of GMB recipients
Graph 5
Kaplan-Meier failure function: exit into employment (recipient)
Source: SocSkrb, calculation of the authors.
Graph 6
Kaplan-Meier failure function: transitions into employment (recipient), by disincentive for work criteria Log-rank tests: (1) chi2(3)=3.67; (2) chi2(3)=8.38*; (3) chi2(3)=0.98; (4) chi2(3)=2.10. Source: SocSkrb, calculation of the authors. Graph 7
Kaplan-Meier failure function: transitions into employment (recipient), by workrelated capabilities criteria Log-rank tests: (1) chi2(4)=17.46**; (2) chi2(4)=12.12*; (3) chi2(2)=5.37+; (4) chi2(1)=4.24*. Source: SocSkrb, calculation of the authors. Graph 8
Kaplan-Meier failure functions: transitions into employment, by gender and household configuration Log-rank tests: (Men): chi2(3)=12.09**; (Women): LR test chi2(3)=3.67. Source: SocSkrb, calculation of the authors. Graph 9
Wages and realized PTR for GMB recipients who made the transition to employment
Source: SocSkrb, calculation of the authors.
Table 2
Hypothetical PTR, average realized PTR and wage of GMB recipients who made transition to employment, by household type
Source: SocSkrb, calculation of the authors.
Graph 10
Kaplan-Meier failure function: relapse from employment into GMB
Source: SocSkrb, calculation of the authors.
Graph 11
Kaplan-Meier failure function: relapse from employment into GMB, by realized participation taxation rate and gender Log-rank tests: (METR) chi2(1)=3.86*; Gender LR test chi2(1)=4.08*. Source: SocSkrb, Tax Administration, calculation of the authors. Table A1
Attributes of individuals and households within the tracked population
Table A2
Cox regression results: transitions of GMB recipients to employment
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September, 2017 III/2017 |