The behavior of U.S. States’ debts and deficits
https://doi.org/10.3326/pse.43.3.3 | Published online: September 14, 2019 Table 1
Descriptive statistics
Notes. All data 1978-1998. Average Chubb yield in basis points. Surplus and debt are shares of gross state product; GVAR and YVAR defined in section 4. Table 2
Average Chubb yields over all states and high-low spread by year
Table 3A
sjt = α + β1djt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 3B
sjt = α + β1djt + β2GVARjt + β3YVARjt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level; * statistically significant at the 10% level. Table 4A
sjt = αj + β1djt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 4B
sjt = αj + β1djt + β2GVARjt + β3YVARjt + εj Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 5A
sjt = αj + Yt + β1djt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 5B
sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2GVARjt + β3YVARjt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 6A
sjt = α + β1djt + β2Rjt-1 + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 6B
sjt = α + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 7A
sjt = αj + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 7B
sjt = αj + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 8A
sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 8B
sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 9A
sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 9B
sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 10A
sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 10B
sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt Notes: autocorrelation corrected maximum likelihood estimates. See table 1 for states; 1978-1998. *** statistically significant at the 1% level. Table 1 Descriptive statistics DISPLAY Table Table 2 Average Chubb yields over all states and high-low spread by year DISPLAY Table Table 3A sjt = α + β1djt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 3B sjt = α + β1djt + β2GVARjt + β3YVARjt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 4A sjt = αj + β1djt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 4B sjt = αj + β1djt + β2GVARjt + β3YVARjt + εj DISPLAY Table Table 5A sjt = αj + Yt + β1djt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 5B sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2GVARjt + β3YVARjt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 6A sjt = α + β1djt + β2Rjt-1 + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 6B sjt = α + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 7A sjt = αj + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 7B sjt = αj + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 8A sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 8B sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 9A sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 9B sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 10A sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + εjt DISPLAY Table Table 10B sjt = αj + γt + β1djt + β2Rjt–1 + β3GVARjt + β4YVARjt + εjt DISPLAY Table |
September, 2019 III/2019 |