Public Sector Economics

4615
Views



609
Downloads

The effectiveness of the fiscal policy response to COVID-19 through the lens of short and long run labor market effects of COVID-19 measures*



Patrik Barišić**
   
Tibor Kovač**
Article   |   Year:  2022   |   Pages:  43 - 81   |   Volume:  46   |   Issue:  1
Received:  June 1, 2021   |   Accepted:  November 4, 2021   |   Published online:  March 8, 2022
Download citation        https://doi.org/10.3326/pse.46.1.2       


  1. Anderton, R. [et al.], 2014. Disaggregating Okun's Law: Decomposing the Impact of the Expenditure Components of GDP on Euro Area Unemployment. ECB Working Paper, No. 1747.

  2. Ball, L., 2014. Long-term damage from the Great Recession in OECD countries. European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, 11(2), pp. 149-160 [CrossRef]

  3. Ball, L., Leigh, D. and Loungani, P., 2013. Okun's law: fit at 50? NBER Working Paper, No. 18668 [CrossRef]

  4. Barrios, S., Strobl, E. and Bertinelli, L., 2010. Trends in Rainfall and Economic Growth in Africa: A Neglected Cause of the African Growth Tragedy. Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(2), pp. 350-366 [CrossRef]

  5. Barro, R. J., Urs'ua, J. F. and Weng, J., 2020. The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the "Spanish Flu" for the Coronavirus's Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity. NBER Working Paper, No. 26866 [CrossRef]

  6. Bell, L. M., 2009. Hysteresis in Unemployment: Old and New Evidence. NBER Working Paper, No. 14818 [CrossRef]

  7. Benedetti, F. C., Sedláček, P. and Sterk, V., 2020. EU start-up calculator: impact of COVID-19 on aggregate employment: Scenario analysis for Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal and Sweden. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union [CrossRef]

  8. Bentolila, S., García-Pérez, I. J. and Jansen, M., 2017. Are the Spanish long-term unemployed unemployable? SERIEs, 8, pp. 1-41 [CrossRef]

  9. Blanchard, O. J. and Summers, L. H., 1986. Hysteresis and the European Unemployment Problem. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 1, pp. 15-78 [CrossRef]

  10. Blanchard, O. J., 1991. Wage Bargaining and Unemployment Persistence. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 23(3), pp. 277-292 [CrossRef]

  11. Blanchard, O., Cerutti, E. and Summers, L., 2015. Inflation and Activity - Two Explorations and their Monetary Policy Implications. IMF Working Papers, 15(230) [CrossRef]

  12. Bloom, D. E. [et al.], 1998. Geography, Demography, and Economic Growth in Africa. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, (2), pp. 207-295 [CrossRef]

  13. Bloom, N., 2009. The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 77(3), pp. 623-685 [CrossRef]

  14. Bodnár, K. [et al.], 2020. The impact of COVID-19 on potential output in the euro area. Economic Bulletin, (7).

  15. Brauner, J. M. [et al.], 2021. Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19. Science, 371(6531) [CrossRef]

  16. Campbell, J. Y. and Mankiw, N., 1989. International evidence on the persistence of economic fluctuations. Journal of Monetary Economics, 23(2), pp. 319-333  [CrossRef]

  17. Cerra, V. and Saxena, S. C., 2008. Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery. American Economic Review, 98(1), pp. 439-457 [CrossRef]

  18. Cerra, V. and Saxena, S. C., 2017. Booms, Crises, and Recoveries: A New Paradigm of the Business Cycle and its Policy Implications. IMF Working Papers, WP 17/250 [CrossRef]

  19. Cerra, V., Panizza, U. and Saxena, S. C., 2012. International Evidence on Recovery from Recessions. Contemporary Economic Policy, 31(2), pp. 424-439  [CrossRef]

  20. Cohen, D. S., 2000. A Quantitative Defense of Stabilization Policy. Finance and Economics Discussion Series, No.34 [CrossRef]

  21. DeLong, J. B. and Summers, L., 2012. Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 43(1), pp. 233-297 [CrossRef]

  22. Di Tella, R. and MacCulloch, R., 2006. Europe vs America: Institutional hysteresis in a Simple Normative Model. Journal of Public Economics, 90(12), pp. 2161-2186 [CrossRef]

  23. Dupraz, S., Nakamura, E. and Steinsson, J., 2019. A Plucking Model of Business Cycles. NBER Working Paper, No. 26351 [CrossRef]

  24. Economou, A. and Psarianos, I. N., 2016. Revisiting Okun's Law in European Union countries. Journal of Economic Studies, 43(2), pp. 275-287 [CrossRef]


  25. Fatas, A. and Summers, H. L., 2018. The permanent effects of fiscal consolidations. Journal of International Economics, 112, pp. 238-250 [CrossRef]

  26. Feenstra, R., Inklaar, R. and Timmer, M., 2015. The Next Generation of the Penn World Table. American Economic Review, 105(10), pp. 3150-3182 [CrossRef]

  27. Fornaro, L. and Wolf, M., 2020. Covid-19 Coronavirus and Macroeconomic Policy. Barcelona Graduate School of Economics Working Paper, No. 1168.

  28. Gechert, S., Horn, G. and Paetz, C., 2019. Long-term Effects of Fiscal Stimulus and Austerity in Europe. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 81(3), pp. 647-666 [CrossRef]

  29. Gonzales-Castillo, J. R. [et al.], 2020. COVID-19 pandemic and Public Health Policies in Peru: March-May 2020. Rev. salud pública, 22(2) [CrossRef]

  30. Gozgor, G., 2013. Testing Unemployment Persistence in Central and Eastern European Countries. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 3(3), pp. 694-700.

  31. Haltmaier, J., 2013. Do Recessions Affect Potential Output? FRB International Finance Discussion Paper, No. 1066 [CrossRef]

  32. Heimberger, P., 2020. Potential Output, EU Fiscal Surveillance and the COVID-19 Shock. Intereconomics, Review of European Economic Policy, 55, pp. 167-174 [CrossRef]

  33. Hershbein, B. and Stuart, B. A., 2020. Recessions and local labor market hysteresis. Upjohn Institute Working Paper, No. 20-325 [CrossRef]

  34. IMF, 2009. What's the Damage? Medium-Term Output Dynamics after Financial Crises. World Economic Outlook, Ch. 4 [CrossRef]


  35. IMF, 2021. Policy Reponses to COVID-19 - Policy Tracker. Washington: IMF.

  36. Jord'a, O., Singh, S. R. and Taylor, A. M., 2020. Longer-Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper, No. 2020-09 [CrossRef]

  37. Jovičić, G., 2017. Procjena potencijalnog rasta i jaza BDP-a u Hrvatskoj. Pregledi Hrvatske narodne banke, P-38.

  38. King, R. and Rebelo, S., 1988. Business Cycles with Endogenous Growth. University of Rochester Working Paper.

  39. King, R. G., Plosser, C. I. and Rebelo, S. T., 1988. Production, growth and business cycles: II. New Directions. Journal of Monetary Economics, 21(2-3), pp. 309-341 [CrossRef]

  40. Knotek, E. S., 2007. How useful is Okun's law? Economic Review, 92(Q IV), pp. 73-103.

  41. Kroft, K. [et al.], 2014. Long-term unemployment and the Great Recession: The role of composition, duration dependence, and non-participation. NBER Working Paper, No. 20273 [CrossRef]

  42. Loageay, C. and Tober, S., 2005. Hysteresis and NAIRU in the Euro Area. Macroeconomic Policy Institute Working Paper, No. 4 [CrossRef]

  43. Ma, C., Rogers, J. and Xhou, S., 2020. Modern Pandemics: Recession and Recovery: manuscript [CrossRef]

  44. Nelson, C. R. and Plosser, C. R., 1982. Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications. Journal of Monetary Economics, 10(2), pp. 139-162 [CrossRef]

  45. Okun, A., 1962. Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance. Proceedings of the Business and Economics Section of the American Statistical Association, pp. 98-104.

  46. Rawdanowiczi, Ł. [et al.[, 2014. Secular Stagnation: Evidence and Implications for Economic Policy. OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1169 [CrossRef]

  47. Reifschneider, D., Wascher, W. and Wilcox, D., 2015. Aggregate Supply in the United States: Recent Developments and Implications for the Conduct of Monetary Policy. IMF Economic Review, 63(1), pp. 71-109 [CrossRef]

  48. Reinhart, C. M. and Rogoff, K. S., 2009. The Aftermath of Financial Crises. American Economic Review, 99(2), pp. 466-472 [CrossRef]

  49. Stadler, G. W., 1986. Real versus monetary business cycle theory and the statistical characteristics of output fluctuations. Economics Letters, 22(1), pp. 51-54 [CrossRef]

  50. Stadler, G. W., 1990. Business Cycle Models with Endogenous Technology. American Economic Review, 80(4), pp. 763-778.

  51. Stiglitz, J. E., 1993. Endogenous Growth and Cycles. NBER Working Paper, No. 4286 [CrossRef]

  52. Stock, J. H. and Watson, M. W., 2011. Introduction to Econometrics. 3. ed. s.l.:Pearson.

  53. Stockhammar, P. and Oller, L.-E., 2012. A Simple Heteroscedasticity Removing Filter. Communication in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 41(2), pp. 281-299 [CrossRef]

  54. Yoo, S. and Managi, S., 2020. Global mortality benefits of COVID-19 action. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 160 [CrossRef]


  March, 2022
I/2022

In order to give you a better user experience, cookies have been stored on your computer.
Accept cookie     More information